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Earth's Magnetic North Pole Keeps Moving Towards Siberia at a Mysteriously Fast Pace| Curio Facts
Our planet is restless, and its poles are
wandering. Of course, the geographic north pole is in the same place it always
was, but its magnetic counterpart – indicated by the N on any compass – is
roaming towards Siberia at record-breaking speeds that scientists don't fully
comprehend.
It's worth stating that while the pace is
remarkable, the movement itself isn't. The magnetic north pole is never truly
stationary, owing to fluctuations in the flow of molten iron within the core of
our planet, which affect how Earth's magnetic field behaves.
"Since its first formal discovery in 1831, the north magnetic pole has travelled around 1,400 miles (2,250 km)," the NOAA's National Centres for Environmental Information (NCEI) explains on its we bsite
"This wandering has been generally
quite slow, allowing scientists to keep track of its position fairly
easily."
That slow wander has quickened of late. In
recent decades, the magnetic north pole accelerated to an average speed of 55
kilometres (34 miles) per year.
The most recent data suggest its movement
towards Russia may have slowed down to about 40 kilometres (25 miles) annually,
but even so, compared to theoretical measurements going back hundreds of years,
this is a phenomenon scientists have never witnessed before.
"The movement since the 1990s is much
faster than at any time for at least four centuries," geomagnetic
specialist Ciaran Beggan from the British Geological Survey (BGS) told FT.
"We really don't know much about the
changes in the core that's driving it."
While researchers can't fully explain the
core fluctuations affecting the north pole's extreme restlessness, they can map
Earth's magnetic field and calculate its rate of change over time, which helps
us to predict how it may be distributed in the future.
A system is being developed called the
World Magnetic Model (WMM), a representation of the field that powers
everything from navigational tools like GPS to mapping services and consumer
compass apps, not to mention systems used by NASA, the FAA, and the military,
among other institutions.
Despite is importance, the WMM's powers of
foresight – like the magnetic north pole itself – are not set in stone, and the
readings need to be updated every five years to keep the model accurate.
"Provided that suitable satellite
magnetic observations are available, the prediction of the WMM is highly
accurate on its release date and then subsequently deteriorates towards the end
of the five-year epoch, when it has to be updated with revised values of the
model coefficients," the NCEI explains.
That's the point we're up to now, with the
bodies that maintain the WMM – the NCEI and the BGS – having finally updated
the model last week.
The refresh actually comes a whole year
ahead of schedule due to the unusual speed with which the magnetic north pole
has been drifting, meaning that the WMM's predictions have deteriorated faster
than usual this cycle, despite the recent slowdown.
While the speed fluctuations seem crazy,
it's actually a more moderate range of pole movement than has happened in
Earth's history: when the magnetic poles move far enough out of position, they
can actually flip, something that happens every few hundreds of thousands of
years.
There's no telling for sure when that might
happen next, but if and when it does happens, it could have serious
implications for humanity.
In the meantime, the new WMM data is good
until 2025, and rest assured, no imminent flipping is predicted for now.
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